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So every model has it abruptly turning north into the US? Are models that accurate that they can predict where it's going to turn?
But predictions remain tentative for what the storm will do once it reaches southern Florida next weekend.
An area of high pressure that covers the Atlantic from Bermuda to the Azores is expected to steer Irma. Such zones have clockwise circulation, so tropical systems are often pulled around them, up the coast.
If the so-called “Bermuda high” is expansive and strong, that could push Irma into the U.S., either along Florida’s western coast and into the Gulf of Mexico, or up the Atlantic coast, the Weather Channel notes.
A weaker Bermuda high could allow Irma to remain off shore as it curves around the pressure system and into colder Atlantic waters.
Irma could also be blocked from moving into the Gulf by a separate system that could become a tropical storm in the coming days.
“That could kind of act as a wall, so to speak,” said Tom Kines, a senior meteorologist with AccuWeather.com.
The hurricane center estimates a 70 percent chance the the area of low pressure over Mexico’s Bay of Campeche will become Tropical Storm Katia in the next five days.
JUST IN: The National Hurricane Center now reports that Hurricane Irma's sustained winds have reached 180 mph with gusts to 220 mph--making it the STRONGEST Atlantic basin hurricane reported outside the waters of the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico on record at NHC. These records go back to 1851.
Here is a link to the 11am NHC discussion which reports this development: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/…/refr…/MIATCDAT1+shtml/051446.shtml?
Here is a link to the latest 11am NHC public advisory on extremely dangerous Hurricane Irma: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/…/refr…/MIATCPAT1+shtml/051445.shtml?
CHECK OUT this multiday infrared satellite movie which graphically catalogs the intensification of this storm and the opening of an incredibly well-developed and distinct eye wall courtesy of CIRA-RAMMB at Colorado State University: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/produ…/tc_realtime/loop.asp…
Here are links to the full range of National Weather Service social media sites dealing with hurricane safety. https://www.weather.gov/wrn/fall2017-hurricane-sm
.If Irma were to make landfall as a Category 4 or 5 storm somewhere in the U.S., it would be in historical territory.
"The U.S. has not sustained a direct hit from two Category 4 or above hurricanes in more than 100 years,” Myers said.
Keep checking back to AccuWeather for updates on the status of Irma and where it may track in the days ahead.
When I first read about Irma, they were saying that it was a strong possibility that it would surpass what a class 5 storm is designed to model for and that with all the strong storms being seen lately, that a class 6 should be introduced to denote storms with sustained wind speed in excess of 180mph.
Andrew had wind speed of 150mph when it went over FL and 120 when it finally hit LA.
Katrina had wind speed of 130-150 when it hit LA.
Irma is coming from the same region that both Andrew and Katrina were formed in. If this thing gets fed well as it comes in.... and rakes the entire East coast.... Houston could be the least of our concerns hurricane wise.
Shit could get really interesting folks. Can't wait to see what happens to insurance claims, local and federal emergency relief funds and supplies... this could really strain the economy.
strain the economy for sure....
some economies have to flourish in hurricane shit though ... right?
I don't know that this strains the economy on a macro level but it certainly strains specific industries. Insurance is taking a beating right now and this is going to be painful if it's even close to what it's supposed to be.
On the flip side of that coin, you'll see huge boons in construction and the automotive industries. Think of all those flooded cars that are going to need to be replaced.
So I should fill up all the extra fuel cans I can before the fuel prices really skyrocket?
i swear there's private flood insurance (non government)